AAC Team Totals for the 2018 CFB Season

Unfortunately, many of the Australian betting agencies only have ‘selected’ teams available to bet season team totals on for College Football.

As such, I won’t personally be placing any bets on season team totals, but still wanted to give my thoughts on some where I think there could be value.  If you have the ability to bet with your betting agency/bookie and decide to – best of luck!  I’ll certainly be keeping a close eye on each of my below predictions and tracking them throughout the season…

Happy punting!

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Temple Over 6.5 (10 out of 10 rating)

This is a number I really like for Temple.  I think they are a chance of being 5-1 or even 6-0 after Week 6 and they still have Cincinnati and UConn in the back half of the season.  They finished 2017 with 4 wins from their last 5 games (only loss in that period was to the eventual undefeated UCF) and with the combination of QB Frank Nutile returning and what I feel on paper is a fairly favourable schedule, I honestly think Temple could be a 10 win team this season.  Realistically they probably end up with 8 or 9 wins but either way, I’m really confident on the Over 6.5.

Navy Over 7 (9 out of 10 rating)

This seems a fairly popular play this year if you do any reading in regards to the AAC.  Navy actually have a 13 game schedule this year (with an extra game against Army to finish the season) and are predicted to improve on what was considered as an ‘average’ season for them last year.  Over 6.5 would be a fantastic number if you could grab it (I have them winning 8 or 9 games this year) but I’d still be happy to take a possible push on a flat 7 wins if it came to it.

UConn Under 3.5 (9 out of 10 rating)

This has the makings of a very average season for Huskies fans.  Given I’ve got them only winning 1 (vs Rhode Island), maybe 2 games (they get UMass at home in Week 9 which is probably a flip of the coin), I’m more than happy to take the u3.5 here.  I’d probably play down to the flat 3 and take a push if it came to it, I’d probably avoid if the number was 2.5 though – just in case……

Memphis Over 8.5 (7 out of 10 rating)

This is a number I really liked early on for Memphis – I was probably going to make it a 9 or even a 10 out of 10 rating.  However, in the last week or so I’ve started to waiver a little.  Head Coach Mike Norvell declared just in the last couple of days that Brady White will be the starting QB.  Whilst not completely unexpected, I was a little surprised that upon hearing that he had not secured the starting QB roll, David Moore has actually left the program all together which leaves true freshman Brady McBride and redshirt freshman Connor Adair as second and third strings.  I don’t know much/anything about McBride or Adair.  I have no doubt they are very competent QB’s however I was a lot more confident on Memphis going over the 8.5 when both White and Moore were in the program.  If White stays fit and plays up to his ability, I’m still confident Memphis win 9 maybe 10 games….. the concern for me would be should he get injured or simply not fire like expected.

Houston Over 7.5 and South Florida Over 8.5 (Both 6 out of 10 ratings)

Without major incident, I feel both Houston and South Florida have the schedules to secure 8 and 9 wins respectively to cover the totals.  A win against the grain for either of them could easily see them push even higher.  I do have small question marks over both teams in certain areas however and feel they could both be susceptible to an unexpected loss, which could make respective Week 13 match ups against Memphis and UCF very very interesting.

Remaining Teams

And that leaves the remaining 6 teams in the conference being Cincinnati (u/o 4), ECU (u/o 3), SMU (u/o 6), Tulane (u/o 5.5), Tulsa (u/o 4) and UCF (u/o 9).  I could probably build an argument for each of these teams as which way I would lean, either under or over the totals, however my gut says that these numbers are all pretty close.

 

If you have a betting agency that is offering markets on any of these teams and the number differs drastically feel free comment below or reach out on Twitter (@MySportTips) and I’d be happy to share my thoughts.

 

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